Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.002526 0.002683 0.002851 0.003045 0.003266 0.003510 0.003804
2025-03-30 0.002277 0.002487 0.002725 0.003018 0.003376 0.003808 0.004382
2025-04-06 0.002074 0.002307 0.002581 0.002934 0.003389 0.003974 0.004825
2025-04-13 0.001942 0.002191 0.002493 0.002897 0.003441 0.004187 0.005364
2025-04-20 0.001781 0.002026 0.002326 0.002736 0.003303 0.004109 0.005451
2025-04-27 0.001711 0.001966 0.002286 0.002733 0.003376 0.004337 0.006072
2025-05-04 0.001680 0.001952 0.002300 0.002802 0.003557 0.004757 0.007165
2025-05-11 0.001627 0.001905 0.002266 0.002800 0.003627 0.005009 0.008042
2025-05-18 0.001610 0.001902 0.002291 0.002882 0.003838 0.005547 0.009851
2025-05-25 0.001561 0.001855 0.002251 0.002862 0.003878 0.005776 0.011046
2025-06-01 0.001506 0.001797 0.002192 0.002809 0.003853 0.005871 0.011924
2025-06-08 0.001491 0.001791 0.002207 0.002871 0.004037 0.006447 0.015083
2025-06-15 0.001466 0.001774 0.002206 0.002912 0.004200 0.007059 0.019844
2025-06-22 0.001423 0.001729 0.002162 0.002881 0.004223 0.007345 0.023953
2025-06-29 0.001370 0.001669 0.002093 0.002802 0.004141 0.007335 0.026168
2025-07-06 0.001333 0.001628 0.002052 0.002767 0.004144 0.007568 0.032011
2025-07-13 0.001269 0.001548 0.001947 0.002618 0.003901 0.007036 0.027653
2025-07-20 0.001245 0.001525 0.001929 0.002616 0.003960 0.007415 0.037023
2025-07-27 0.001239 0.001527 0.001947 0.002680 0.004169 0.008354 0.080592
2025-08-03 0.001218 0.001506 0.001930 0.002678 0.004233 0.008852 0.193244
2025-08-10 0.001215 0.001512 0.001955 0.002753 0.004487 0.010241 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001192 0.001487 0.001930 0.002735 0.004515 0.010724 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001164 0.001453 0.001889 0.002686 0.004461 0.010805 NaN